Modello:

Ensemble forecast charts of several different numerical weather prediction (NWP) models

Aggiornato:
2 times per day, from 05:00 and 17:00 UTC
Greenwich Mean Time:
12:00 UTC = 13:00 CET
Risoluzione:
Parametro:
Geopotential in 850 hPa (solid, black lines) and Temperature advection in K/6h (colored lines)
Descrizione:
The map "T-Adv 850" shows the advection of cold or warm air at 850 hPa level. Negative values indicate cold advection, while positive values indicate warm air advection. Advection of warm or cold air causes the geopotential height to respectively rise or drop, producing vertical rising and sinking motion of air. There is, however, not a direct relationship between temperature advection and resultant vertical motion in the atmosphere since other lifting and sinking mechanisms can complicate the picture, e.g. vorticity advection (see "V-Adv maps").
In weather forecasting, temperature advection maps are often used to locate the postion of wam and cold fronts. Cold advection is common behind cold fronts, while warm advection is common behind warm fronts and ahead of cold fronts. Higher in the atmosphere temperature advection is getting less pronounced, as horizontal much more uniform in temperature and the flow is more zonal.
Spaghetti plots:
are a method of viewing data from an ensemble forecast.
A meteorological variable e.g. pressure, temperature is drawn on a chart for a number of slightly different model runs from an ensemble. The model can then be stepped forward in time and the results compared and be used to gauge the amount of uncertainty in the forecast.
If there is good agreement and the contours follow a recognisable pattern through the sequence then the confidence in the forecast can be high, conversely if the pattern is chaotic i.e resembling a plate of spaghetti then confidence will be low. Ensemble members will generally diverge over time and spaghetti plots are quick way to see when this happens.

Spaghetti plot. (2009, July 7). In Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia. Retrieved 20:22, February 9, 2010, from http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Spaghetti_plot&oldid=300824682
NWP:
Numerical weather prediction uses current weather conditions as input into mathematical models of the atmosphere to predict the weather. Although the first efforts to accomplish this were done in the 1920s, it wasn't until the advent of the computer and computer simulation that it was feasible to do in real-time. Manipulating the huge datasets and performing the complex calculations necessary to do this on a resolution fine enough to make the results useful requires the use of some of the most powerful supercomputers in the world. A number of forecast models, both global and regional in scale, are run to help create forecasts for nations worldwide. Use of model ensemble forecasts helps to define the forecast uncertainty and extend weather forecasting farther into the future than would otherwise be possible.

Wikipedia, Numerical weather prediction, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Numerical_weather_prediction(as of Feb. 9, 2010, 20:50 UTC).